Do I blog ... or not?

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It's been so long since I've blogged that I wonder whether I have it in me to continue.  It's not that there are not lots of interesting things going on - in my life - and in the world around me.

I find that its less about time than about the mental energy one has available.  Over the last few months I've been easing my way into a couple of new 'governance' positions.

I enjoy being on a board of directors.  The time demands are not that great.  The risks are sometimes described as excessive - but I'm not sure I agree.  Provided one has some knowledge of the industry, a soundly founded trust in the key people, a moral compass, and (in the end) a willingness to resign ... I think it's possible to keep the risks to a level commensurate with the rewards.

But working through new challenges does drain a bit of mental energy - and one thing I haven't felt like doing is ... blogging.

I guess the other thing is that ... I feel like I'm starting to repeat myself a bit.  My wife and children (maybe even a few colleagues) might think this is nothing new, but I try not to.
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Economic relevance - episode 6

There are now only 7 boxes to go - at $5,000 a box that's $35,000 of my artificially set $250,000 of gross farm revenue.  To remind readers - that's what I've defined as economic relevance for our 57 acre small farm.

We've got to $215k with a combination of pastured meat, truffles, eggs and a vegetable CSA.  The businessman in me already says 'too much, too much' - in terms of too many things to focus on and get right.  On the other hand, industrial agriculture is arguably the mess it is because of focussing in on monocultures and scale - and optimising things past the point of sustainability.

You can look at where we've reached as having several parts:

• two substantial production activities - pastured meat and vegetables; 
• two smaller production activities - eggs and truffles;
• a need to process what we grow and present it in a marketable form; and
• a marketing system.

I think that's enough to start with - and also enough to be coherent and sustainable if we manage to do it well.  So I'm happy to put the last $35,000 down to opportunities at the margin of what we plan to do.  I can give some examples of where the dollars might come from:

• selling other people's produce through our marketing system;
• adding other mini crops as seasonal add ins - we already have an asparagus bed, we will plant walnuts and plums (chilli plum sauce).  Just today we thought of establishing a big rhubarb patch - cooking apples go with that;
• selling some form of hospitality - which will have the benefit of bringing potential customers to the farm; and
• selling some form of education - which will also bring potential customers to the farm.

This sort of activity will be an essential part of re-localising food.  Industrial agriculture deprives farmers of their connections to consumers and has pushed them towards being production specialists.  Disconnected from the consumer and dealing with a few very large counter parties, it's hardly surprising that the farmers' share of the food dollar has contracted so far.

We enjoy people coming to the farm.  We love the wide eyes of the kids - and the way parents relax.   Thanks to Michael Pollan and others there is a growing awareness of the costs of industrial food.  So, to some degree, we should be digging in fertile ground.  And the advantage we have is - we don't need to convince everyone.  In order to get to a $250,000 gross farm income, we're only looking for (say) 125 good, regular customers to buy an average of $2,000 worth of food each year.

Compared with other ways of grossing $250k, this still seems like very hard work.  On the way through it's hard to imagine we haven't got $50,000 in direct off farm costs - and another (say) $20,000 in overheads (things like insurance, office costs and various registrations and fees).  Then, in our 50s we can't expect to provide all the labour ourselves.  Let's say we employ the equivalent of 2 full time people at a total employment cost of $40,000 each.  We're now back to $100,000 to provide a return for our labour input - and our investment.

All I can say is - it's good that this something I want to do anyway - because it sure doesn't make sense against either of our day jobs!

I'm an accountant who was a partner in a major firm for 20 years.  I haven't earned banker millions, but I have done well enough to qualify as a high income earner.  The wife is a registered nurse.  Nurses earn a good average wage - very good if the flexibility is taken into account.  Neither nurses or even partners in big accounting firms are required to put in much in the way of investment in order to earn of incomes.  In the main we turn up and work hard and smart - and that's enough.

It's not enough if you going farming - where we have to invest in our land - and in livestock, crops that don't return income for varying periods of time, machinery, fencing and other infrastructure.  

This morning I caught something on Australian TV - it said that in 1950 you could buy a Holden car with what you could get for selling a single bale of wool.  Today it takes 35 bales of wool to buy a Holden.  Many things go into creating this sort of change in a farmer's terms of trade, but it has to be a sign of just how screwed up the system is.  It's not like wool isn't still a valuable fibre.

I have just a suspicion that farmers' terrible terms of trade are going to start reversing - and perhaps have even started to reverse already.  It is not why I want to go farming - but it is a part of why I can look at the relatively unpromising numbers I've set out above and still feel like I can't wait to get started!

What's happening ?!?!

The last few days have seen the Bernie Madoff scandal break.  

I'm living in a country where the so called 'Washington Consensus' on what constitutes good economic policy was obnoxiously rammed down the throat of politicians and policy makers.  Turns out the biggest crooks and most gullible fools might have been in New York and not in Jakarta!

Funny thing is - personally I have the same faith in markets now as ever.  As I've said to a few clients over the years, it's quite a lot about implementation.  And implementation involves competing objectives, compromise and hard work - as well as principle.

I suspect we'll see markets pass harsh judgement on the Wall St way of mobilising and deploying capital over the next few years.  

There are some parallels with my own medium term plans.  

I want to produce local food for local people at Moora.  The current industrial food system, no doubt, will think I'm nuts - but I suspect that industrial agriculture is almost as vulnerable to disruption and change as global capital markets.

We live in interesting times.

First post

I'm learning.  And this blog is going to be part of a learning process.  

In a couple of years I want to be making a living from my small farm (57 acres) just outside of Melbourne, Australia.  At the moment I'm still employed as a professional accountant - and living in an apartment in Jakarta.  It is really more correct to say 'we' because I'm here with Kristina - my wife of 35 years - the mother of my four children - and my best mate!

Not too far in the future, we want to make at least part of a living producing food for people in the Gisborne / Sunbury area of Melbourne.  At that time we think we will be using a website to communicate with our customers.  It seems to make sense to start into the process of communicating online.

So this blog will mainly be about Moora - our farm in Couangalt Rd, South Gisborne, Australia.  It is presently in the care of our son and a farm manager.  

Inevitably, it will also be a bit about our life in Jakarta, about our kids, extended family and friends.   I guess it will also touch on the wonderful country (Indonesia) that has become our third home after Australia and the land of our birth (New Zealand).  And I don't think I will be able to blog without talking about the extraordinary times.